Math 365 Spring 2016 Schedule (Syllabus)

Prof. Tanya Leise   MWF 11am plus Thurs 11:30am   Mudd 207

Text: Introduction to Stochastic Processes, 2nd Edition, by Gregory Lawler

Date
Topic
Assigned Work and Links
Due Date
1/25-1/29      
M
Introduction to stochastic processes and R
To install: R and RStudio
To use via server: r.amherst.edu
Read Chapter 0
Intro to R
 
W
1.1 Finite Markov chains R script for Section 1.1 demos  
Th 1.2 Large-time behavior R script for Section 1.2 demos  
F
1.2, cont'd Article with proof of theorem (using right eigenvectors)  
2/1-5
     
M
Markov chain diffusion Markov chain diffusion (R markdown file) Due Fri 2/5
W
1.3 Classification of states R script for Section 1.3 demos  
Th
1.4 Return times R script for Section 1.4 demos  
F
1.5 Transient states Exercises 1.9, 1.13, 1.14, 1.15
R script for Section 1.5 demo
Due Fri 2/12
2/8-12
     
M
Walk on a Graph Walk on a Graph (R markdown file, graph) Due Mon 2/15
W
1.6 Examples R script for Section 1.6 demo  
Th
2.1 Countable Markov chains    
F
2.2 Recurrence and transience    
2/15-2/19      
M
Walk on a Circle   Due Mon 2/22
W
2.3 Positive recurrence and null recurrence    
Th
Continue 2.3 Exercises 2.3, 2.4, 2.8ab, 2.9 Due Thurs 2/25
F
2.4 Branching processes Branching Process Demo  
2/22-2/26
   
M
Branching processes Branching processes (R markdown file) Due Fri 2/26
W
Finish Chapter 2    
Th
Review Take-home exam (R markdown file) Due Mon 2/29
F
3.1 Poisson processes Poisson Process Demo  
2/29-3/4
   
M Poisson Processes Rmarkdown file and data file Due Fri 3/4
W
3.1 cont'd R script for Section 3.2 demo  
Th
3.2 Finite space space    
F
3.2 cont'd Exercises 3.5, 3.9. 3.11 Due Fri 3/11
3/7-3/11
     
M
Coupon Collector Coupon collector (R markdown file) Due Fri 3/11
W
3.3 Birth-and-death processes    
Th
3.4 General case  
F
4.1 Optimal stopping R script for Section 4.1 demo
Exercise 4.1: compute numerically using un and also geometrically using convex hull


Due Fri 3/25

3/12-3/20
Spring Recess    
3/21-3/25    
M
Queueing Queueing (R markdown file) Due Fri 3/25
W
Finish stopping time    
Th
5.1 Martingales    
F
5.2 Definition and examples 5.2 (replacing X₂ with X₃), 5.5, 5.7 Due Fri 4/1
3/28-4/1
   
M
Polya Urn Polya Urn (R markdown file) Due Fri 4/1
W
Continue martingales    
Th
5.3 Optional sampling theorem Take-home exam (R markdown file) Due Wed 4/6
F
7.1 Reversible processes Poisson process demo and Mathematica demo  
4/4-4/8
   
M
7.2 Convergence to equilibrium    
W
Rejection Sampling Rejection Sampling (R markdown file) Due Fri 4/8
Th
7.3 Markov chain algorithms:
Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
7.1, 7.9, 7.10 Due Fri 4/15
F
Gibbs sampler

Project topic due today (email by 4pm)
Gibbs sampler to sample bivariate normal distribution
Gibbs sampler to fit Poisson process with change point to mine accident data

 
4/11-4/15
   
M
Decryption using MCMC Decryption (R markdown file)
AustenCount input file
Encrypted message
Helper R script
Due Fri 4/15
W
7.4 Criterion for recurrence  
Th
8.1 Brownian motion

Brownian motion apps
Brownian motion R demo

 
F
8.2 Markov property 8.4, 8.7, 8.10, 8.15 (integration demo) Due Fri 4/29
4/18-4/22
   
M
Brownian Motion Brownian Motion (R markdown file) Due Fri 4/22
W
Continue Brownian motion    
Th
8.3 Zero set of Brownian motion Zero set demo  
F
8.4 Brownian motion in several dim.
PDE examples (Mathematica file from class)
Outline of project due today (email by 4pm)
 
4/25-4/29
   
M
More Brownian Motion
8.5 Recurrence and transience
More Brownian Motion (R markdown file) Due Fri 4/29
W
9.1 Integration wrt random walk    
Th
9.2 Integration wrt brownian motion
Presentations
   
F
9.3 Ito's formula
Presentations
   
5/2-5/6
     
M
Finish stochastic integration
Presentations
Project reports due today (email by 4pm)  
W
Presentations (final exam posted today)  
Th
Presentations    
F Presentations    
  Take-home final exam due 4pm Thurs 5/12