// File MIT-Lab-22-02-04-04.txt. Edition 7/14/2010. // Lists: Demand Constant, Price Coef, X Coef, X Var, and Error Var 20 30 10 30 -4.0 -1.0 3.0 -4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 30 40 10 30 10 20 10 20 // Lists: Supply Constant, Price Coef, X Coef, X Var, and Error Var 0 10 10 0 1.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 30 40 10 30 10 20 10 20 // List Sample Size 20 100 10 20 // Prob Specs: Pause Dem/Sup(0 if demand) SampleSize EstProc(0:OLS, 1:RF, 2:2SLS) ` 0 -1 20 0 Objective: Show that bias results when the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation procedure is used to estimate the value of demand curve's price coefficient in a demand/supply model. _ This simulation includes two equations: _____One describing demand and _____One describing supply. Together the demand and supply equations determine the equilibrium price and quantity. ` The lists under Dem specify the demand equation: _____Const is the constant _____PCoef is the price coefficient _____XCoef is the coefficient of an exogenous variable affecting demand _ Since the demand curve is downward sloping, the price coefficient of demand is negative. by default it equals -4. ` The lists under Sup specify the supply equation: _____Const is the constant _____PCoef is the price coefficient _____XCoef is the coefficient of an exogenous variable affecting supply _ Since the supply curve is upward slopint, the price coefficient of supply is positive. By default it equals 1. ` The drop down box to the left of the Pause checkbox is the Procedures drop down box. It offers the choice of three estimation procedures: _____Ordinary least squares (OLS) _____Reduced form (RF) _____Two stage least squares (2SLS) Ordinary least squares (OLS) is now selected. _ Note that the Sup radio button and the PCoef radio button are selected. This means that the estimates for the supply equation's price coefficient will be reported. ` 0 -1 20 0 1. Be certain that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation procedure is selected in the Procedures drop down box. Click Start and then after many, many repetitions click Stop. ______1a. What does the mean (average) of the price estimates equal? ______1b. What does the variance of the price estimates equal? ` 0 -1 30 0 2. The sample size has been increased from 20 to 30. Click Start and then after many, many repetitions click Stop. ______2a. What does the mean (average) of the price estimates equal? ______2b. What does the variance of the price estimates equal? _ 3. Increase the sample size from 30 to 40. Click Start and then after many, many repetitions click Stop. ______3a. What does the mean (average) of the price estimates equal? ______3b. What does the variance of the price estimates equal? ` 4. Do results suggest that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation procedure for the price coefficient ______4a. unbiased? ______4b. consistent? Explain.