// File MIT-Lab-18-E1-00-02.txt. Edition 5/15/2012. // Title Consistent_Estimation_Procedures // List of Population Proportions .1 .9 .1 .5 // List of Sample Sizes 1_2_3_4_10_16_25_50_100_200_400 // List of From Bounds - Decimals 0.000 1.000 .025 .45 // List of To Bounds - Decimals 0.000 1.000 .025 .55 // List of From Bounds - Integers 0 -1 1 -1 // List of To Bounds - Integers 0 -1 1 -1 // Problem Specs // ActFrac // SampleSize // PauseCheckbox(-1 checked 0 cleared) // NonRandomSampleCheckbox(-1 visible unchecked, 0 not visible, 1 visible checked) // To-FromValues(0 hide, -1 reset values to none, 1 leave current values intact) ` .5 16 0 -1 1 1. Random Sampling Procedure: Write the name of each individual in the population on a 3 5 card. _ Perform the following procedure T times (T equals the sample size): _ Thoroughly shuffle the cards. _ Randomly draw one card. _ Ask that individual if he/she supports Clint and record the answer. _ Replace the card. _ Calculate the fraction of the sample supporting Clint. ` Since there is little time to conduct the poll only 16 individuals can be sampled if Clint uses the random polling procedure. _ The Nonrandom Sample box is not checked. By default the actual fraction supporting Clint, ActFrac, equals .5; also, the From-To values are specified as .45 and .55. Click the Start button and then after many, many, repetitions click Stop. What percent of the repetitions fall within .05 of the actual fraction, ActFrac?