// File New-Lec4-01-04-03-02. Edition 7/14/2010. // Lab Specs // Window Title Heteroscedasticity // Option (0 Normal, 1 Auto, 2 Heter, 3 X-e correlation, 4 Measurement, 5 Consistency (Is this used?) 2 // Constant List 40 60 10 50 // Coefficient List -2 6 2 2 // iListVarErrors 50 500 150 500 // iListSamples 3 250 1 5 // iListSamplesAutocorrelation 3 50 1 40 // iListSamplesMeasurement 3 50 1 5 // iListXMinima 0 10 10 0 // iListXMaxima 20 30 10 30 // strListFromCoef -1.0 4.0 .5 1.0 // strListToCoef 1.0 6.0 .5 3.0 // strListRho -.9 .9 .3 .0 // strListHeter -2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 // strListCoefXAndError -.9 .9 .3 .0 // iListXMeasErrVar 0 100 50 0 // Problem Specs // SampleSize // PauseCheckbox (-1 checked, 0 cleared) // EstType (0 Error, 1 Constant, 2 Coefficient) // ErrorVar // ConstValue // CoefValue // xMinValue // xMaxValue // ErrTermCheckbox (0 not visible and unchecked, -1 visible and checked, 1 visible and unchecked)) // VarEstAndFromTo (-1 VarEst visible, 0 nothing visible, 1 From-To visible) ` 3 0 2 500 10 2 0 30 0 -1 Objective: Show that when heteroskedasticity is present, the generalized least squares (GLS) estimation procedure "cures" the problem encountered by the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation procedure. _ The generalized least squares (GLS) estimation procedure for the value of the coefficient is still unbiased; furthermore, the GLS estimation procedure for the variance of the coefficient estimate's probability distributuion is unbiased also. ` 3 0 2 500 10 2 0 30 0 -1 First, note that the "heteroskedasticity factor" is 1: heterskedasticity is present. _ Second, focus on the drop down box below the Act Coef list. Change the estimation procedure from ordinary least squares (OLS) to generalized least squares (GLS). The simulation will now apply the generalized least squares estimation procedure rather than the ordinary least squares estimation procedure. ` 1a. Click Start and then after many, many repetitions click Stop. _ Compare the mean of the coefficient estimate's numercial values _ (in the "Mean" line under "Coef Est") and the actual value of the coefficient _ (in the "Act Coef" list) _ Does this suggest that the GLS estimation procedure for the coefficient value is biased or unbiased when heteroskedasticity is present? ` 1b. Compare the mean (average) of the OLS estimates of the variance for the coefficient estimate's probability distribution _ (in the "Mean" line under "Coef Dist Var Est") and the variance of the coefficient estimate's numercial values _ (in the "Var" line under "Coef Est") _ Does this suggest that the GLS estimation procedure for the variance of coefficient estimate's probability distribution is biased or unbiased when heteroskedasticity is present?