// File MIT-Lab-04-01-00-02.txt. Edition 12/29/2012. // Lab Specs // Title Opinion_Poll_Simulation // List of Population Proportions .1 .9 .1 .5 // List of Sample Sizes 1_2_3_4_10_16_25_50_100_200_400 // List of From Bounds - Decimals 0.000 1.000 .025 -1.000 // List of To Bounds - Decimals 0.000 1.000 .025 -1.000 // List of From Bounds - Integers 0 -1 1 -1 // List of To Bounds - Integers 0 -1 1 -1 // Problem Specs // PopFrac // SampleSize // PauseCheckbox(-1 checked 0 cleared) // NonRandomSampleCheckbox(-1 visible unchecked, 0 not visible, 1 visible checked) // To-FromValues(0 hide, -1 reset values to none, 1 leave current values intact) ` .5 16 0 0 0 Cynic's View: Despite the fact that 12 of the 16 students Clint polled support Clint, the election is actually a tossup. _ Objective: Show that the cynic could be correct. _ Since the cynic claims that the election is a tossup, a population fraction of .5 has been selected. Also, the sample size is specified as 16, the number of students Clint polled. ` .5 16 0 0 0 1. Be certain that the Pause checkbox is uncheck. Click Start and then after many, many repetitions click Stop. Look at the histogram. After many, many repetitions do 12 of more of the 16 students selected support Clint in some polls? Could the cynic be correct?